The COVID-19 pandemic is a rare, extreme event. Though a global pandemic has been widely anticipated, now one has emerged it will have radical implications for populations, business and markets for years to come. The consequences are proving to be all the greater because “the world is not prepared” for a global public health crisis of this magnitude.
Here we bring together new and original business insights from our international teams of expert regional and thematic analysts. We’ll go beyond the curve to track and analyse the coronavirus pandemic’s trajectory, with our specialists dissecting the ramifications for companies and investors exposed to affected countries, industries and commodities.
Updated daily, the interactive chart below shows evolving country-level case trends and the proportion of reported deaths relative to reported cases since late-January in all countries affected by COVID-19.
However, case identification varies widely between countries due to under-reporting, shortfalls in testing capacity or selective testing policies. Evidence is also emerging that deaths in key hotspots have been radically under-reported. Aware of these caveats, we present this data as an approximate guide to country-level trends, particularly the rate of growth in cases.
We also use our own data* to bring focus on the baseline political and institutional context for the non-pharmaceutical interventions being implemented – countries’ overall pandemic response capacity and (in the pop-ups) their unique combination of strengths and weaknesses: connectivity, healthcare resourcing, government effectiveness, political freedom, and the multiple factors affecting how likely communities are to consent to restrictions.
*While our approach may change as the situation evolves, we’re currently penalising politically freer countries: among developed democracies, only those with recent SARS experience have imposed emergency measures early enough to avoid major public health crises. Our approach is experimental at this stage due to robust, comparable, dynamic country data on COVID-19 response measures only beginning to be collated. As these develop, we’ll consider how best to factor them in.
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